Indianapolis +8.5 (Tennesee to win SU) and Over 44 - Matt Hasselbeck is not more than a TD better than Curtis Painter.
Houston -9 and Over 40.5 - Jacksonville beat up the Ravens on national TV and were still 9 point dogs. That's all you need to know.
Minnesota +3.5 (Carolina to win SU) and Under 47 - Cam Newton looks good, but he'll keep it close. With the 3.5 points you have to like Minnesota.
New Orleans -13.5 and Over 48 - Do I need to explain this one? If anything it's such an obvious play that it scares me a little.
Baltimore -12.5 and Over 43 - The Ravens are infinitely better at home.
Giants -9.5 and Over 41.5 - Giants know they need this game with no more "easy" wins on the schedule.
Washington +4 and Under 45 - I don't think Ryan Fitzpatrick is that good, and I never take the guy who just got the big extension he didn't deserve.
Detroit -3 and Over 41.5 - My heart says to bet on Tim Tebow and run with it, but I can't pass up Calvin Johnson giving just 3 to awful 1-6 needed a heart attack comeback to beat 0-7 Miami, even if it means betting against God's side.
New England -2.5 and Under 52 - If It was -3 I might take the Steelers. Think it's a tight ugly game in Heinz Field and love the under 52 here.
Cleveland +8.5 (San Francisco to win SU) and Under 38.5 - Going to be a tight defensive battle. 49ers shouldn't be giving 8.5 points. It's still Alex Smith no matter how you dress him up.
Cincinnati (-1.5) and Under 37.5 - Another tight game here, but I think the Bengals pull it out. They are the best of the bad teams and I think they can even win in Seattle.
Philadelphia (-3) and Under 48.5 - Purely a history based pick here. Andy Reid just doesn't lose off a bye. I mean, I think Dallas is better and matches up well, just can't lost to Reid off a bye again.
San Diego (-3) and Over 44.5 - Their last game was marred by officials that refused to call pass interference. On Monday night, they'll let them play and San Diego will blow Kansas City out.
-Fred "Big Derf" Tobin