Sunday, October 30, 2011

NFL Week Eight Game Picks and Over/Unders

Sorry for the lack of updates lately, just haven't been able to find time to write.  Quick picks again this week.  Hopefully next week I'll be back going full bore here.

Indianapolis +8.5 (Tennesee to win SU) and Over 44 - Matt Hasselbeck is not more than a TD better than Curtis Painter.

Houston -9 and Over 40.5 - Jacksonville beat up the Ravens on national TV and were still 9 point dogs.  That's all you need to know.

Minnesota +3.5 (Carolina to win SU) and Under 47 - Cam Newton looks good, but he'll keep it close.  With the 3.5 points you have to like Minnesota.

New Orleans -13.5 and Over 48 - Do I need to explain this one?  If anything it's such an obvious play that it scares me a little.

Baltimore -12.5 and Over 43 - The Ravens are infinitely better at home.

Giants -9.5 and Over 41.5 - Giants know they need this game with no more "easy" wins on the schedule.

Washington +4 and Under 45 - I don't think Ryan Fitzpatrick is that good, and I never take the guy who just got the big extension he didn't deserve.

Detroit -3 and Over 41.5 - My heart says to bet on Tim Tebow and run with it, but I can't pass up Calvin Johnson giving just 3 to awful 1-6 needed a heart attack comeback to beat 0-7 Miami, even if it means betting against God's side.

New England -2.5 and Under 52 - If It was -3 I might take the Steelers.  Think it's a tight ugly game in Heinz Field and love the under 52 here.

Cleveland +8.5 (San Francisco to win SU) and Under 38.5 - Going to be a tight defensive battle.  49ers shouldn't be giving 8.5 points.  It's still Alex Smith no matter how you dress him up.

Cincinnati (-1.5) and Under 37.5 - Another tight game here, but I think the Bengals pull it out.  They are the best of the bad teams and I think they can even win in Seattle.

Philadelphia (-3) and Under 48.5 - Purely a history based pick here.  Andy Reid just doesn't lose off a bye.  I mean, I think Dallas is better and matches up well, just can't lost to Reid off a bye again.

San Diego (-3) and Over 44.5 - Their last game was marred by officials that refused to call pass interference. On Monday night, they'll let them play and San Diego will blow Kansas City out.

-Fred "Big Derf" Tobin

No comments:

Post a Comment