Monday, July 4, 2011

Fantasy Baseball Spot Starter Pickups For Tuesday 7/5/11

Monday's Starter Stats - Vance Worley - Results Not In As Of Posting.
Cumulative Starter Stats - 547.2 Innings Pitched - 386 Strikeouts - 6.34 K/9 - 35 Wins in 89 Starts - 3.50 ERA - 1.22 WHIP
Cumulative Starter Spreadsheet Viewable Here

Posting this early between getting out of work and heading out for the night here Monday night.  Will update with Worley's results later tonight most likely, but for now I'm just going to get right into Tuesday's starters to maximize my 4th of July BBQ time....

Tuesday's Recommended Starter - Jeff Karstens - Pittsburgh Pirates vs Houston Astros - 7:05 PM ET - 27.3% Owned in ESPN Leagues

Karstens has been a revelation so far this season, a career 4.55 ERA pitcher who has a much better 2.65 ERA this season.  That's almost two runs off his ERA.  It seems to be luck, as his .238 BABIP and 86.7% strand rate are going to be unsustainable going forward, but he's still a great start option here.  His luck hasn't turned yet, and he shut out the Astros over 6.2 innings last time he faced them four starts ago.  I expect more of the same here, though don't rush to the wire for him if you aren't streaming starters.  Long term his value will fall off a cliff at some point, so don't over invest.

Just one recommendation here for Tuesday because it's a holiday as I write this Monday.  If you are reading this monday, Happy Independence Day.
-Fred "Big Derf" Tobin

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