Sunday, April 24, 2011

Fantasy Baseball Spot Starter Pickups For Monday 4/25/11

Saturday Recommendation One's Stats -  Brandon Beachy  - 6.0 Innings Pitched - 7 Strikeouts - No Decision - 3.00 ERA - 0.50 WHIP
Saturday Recommendations Two's Stats -  Carlos Carrasco  - 3.0 Innings Pitched - 1 Strikeout - No Decision - 6.00 ERA - 2.67 WHIP
Week Three's Recommended Starters' Final Stats - 52.1 Innings Pitched - 43 Strikeouts - 7.40 K/9 - 2 Wins in 9 Starts - 2.92 ERA - 1.09 WHIP
Cumulative Starters' Stats - 176.2 Innings Pitched - 140 Strikeouts - 7.13 K/9 - 12 Wins in 29 Starts - 3.41 ERA - 1.16 WHIP
Starter Stats Spreadsheet Online Here

Carrasco was taken out of the game after three innings with elbow tightness.  It adds to my totals, but I take no responsibility for any of his three inning mess.  No injury guarantees here folks.  On the other hand, Beachy gave another six solid innings of three hit no walk ball, showing off his excellent control.  The run support didn't come in time to get him a win, but you'll never be too mad at your starter for six innings of two run ball.  The numbers overall on the week were very solid.  Sub-3.00 ERA and Sub-1.10 WHIP will win you most of your match-ups.  The two wins in nine starts was a bit fluky, but that's the nature of wins even when you are trying to chase them.  Monday's spot starter recommendation.....

Dustin Moseley - San Diego Padres vs Atlanta Braves - 10:05 PM EST - 0.9% Owned in ESPN Standard Leagues

Moseley isn't going to keep this up forever, but he's shown good control and the ability to induce ground balls at a high rate so far this year, and you are always going to love a start in Petco Park.  Moseley has done it against similar caliber lineups to this Braves offense, so I see no reason why he won't be able to keep it up here.  Don't worry about his 0-3 record.  It's totally random that the offense hasn't produced on a day Moseley was playing yet.  As long as he keeps pitching like this, the wins will come, and for a very good ERA and WHIP, we can wait a day on strikeouts.

Before I get to the rest of the rankings, my week four pickups and evaluations column can be found here.  As always, the rest of the starters are listed in the order I would play them.  It's a very light day today, pickings are slim.

Jon Garland (2.7%) - LA Dodgers at Florida - Garland has a lot of the same traits as Moseley, except Moseley has a longer track record this year.  I don't still trust Garland fully yet, and thats why he falls to the second spot here despite his complete game against Atlanta the last time out.  You can expect similar numbers here from Garland as you will from Moseley, but Moseley has less risk and is more widely available, so why bother.

This is the ten-team mixed league line.  Anyone below this line is only recommended for deeper or AL/NL only leagues.  Travel day today, so not much above the line.  Recommend passing on the day and waiting for tomorrow if you can spare to.  AL-Only teams should definitely look to tomorrow for help.

Chris Narveson (41.1%) - Milwaukee vs Cincinnati - Love the strikeout potential, hate the match-up for Narveson on Monday.  His K/9 rate is up above 8.00 right now on the season, but you don't want to be starting anyone against the best run scoring team in baseball right now.  I'm passing on Narveson for today in standard leagues, but he might be worth a play in your deeper league.

Pick A Winner
John Lannan (0.6%) - Washington at
Paul Maholm (0.3%) - Pittsburgh
While Lannan had a much better last start out than Maholm, neither of these guys really inspires any confidence in you.  Each will only be good for three or so strikeouts, and both are always high risk of getting blown up.  Decide which team you think is going to win, and play that starter and hope.

Philip Humber (0.1%) - Chicago White Sox at NY Yankees - Yes...The best AL-Only eligible starting pitcher is Phillip Humber.  No I don't recommend him here in Yankee Stadium.  Humber has been decent so far, but hasn't faced a lineup near the talent level of the Yankees.

Esmil Rogers (1.9%) - Colorado at Chicago Cubs - Rogers got blown up his last time out against the Giants, and because of that he has the highest ERA of any starter pitching today.  He'll be out of Coors Field, but Wrigley isn't a huge improvement.  Esmil is a stay away for me today.

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