NFL Week Four Game Picks And Over/Unders

Week Three Totals
Straight Up Picks - 11-5
Picks vs Spread - 7-8-1
Over/Unders - 8-8
"Bankroll" - Down 2.6 Units

Season To Date Totals
Straight Up Picks - 31-17
Picks vs Spread - 24-21-3
Over/Unders - 22-25-1
"Bankroll" - Down 4.6 Units


That season long negative total is very deceiving...its all vigs. I've won 46 and lost 46 games picks against the spread and totals, so that 4.6 units down is just the cost of betting at -110.  It might force me to add in some upset special picks in the future, as I've had a few underdogs come through as winners already (including the Giants at a theoretical +325 last week).

For now though, it's the same format as the first three weeks of the season, just me giving you picks for every game this weekend...

NFL Week Three 2011 Game Picks and Over/Unders

Week Two Totals
Straight Up Picks - 12-4
Picks vs Spread - 10-4-2
Over/Unders - 5-10-1
"Bankroll" - -0.4 Units

Season To Date Totals
Straight Up Picks - 20-12
Picks vs Spread - 17-13-2
Over/Unders - 14-17-1
"Bankroll" - -2 Units

After helping an otherwise bad picks day in week one, my Over/Under success rate plummeted in week two. That's life sometimes. Hopefully I can bounce back this week and get back up to even on the year. I'm technically 31-30-3 on "bets" but the vigs have taken their toll on the "bankroll".

Week three should be another good week here, the some of my undervalued teams are starting to see the line movement catch up to them, but there are still plenty of good spots for us to get value.

NFL Week Two 2011 Game Picks and Over/Unders

Season To Date Totals
Straight Up Picks - 8-8
Picks vs Spread - 7-9
Over/Unders - 9-7

Week one wasn't great, but it wasn't awful.  If you played all of my spread picks and my over/unders it came out to an even 16-16, though you lost 1.6 units on vig.  Week one is a bit of a crap shoot though, and the picks should improve this week, now that I've seen more than half the games from last week myself and have results for all sixteen games to help me judge each team....

NFL 2011 Week One Prediction - Thursday Night Game 9/8/11

Just getting in a prediction for the Thursday night game before the full week's slate of games is predicted here on Friday or Saturday....